Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.062360e-03 0.001207 0.001351 0.001506 0.001668 0.001830 0.002006
2025-12-28 8.216066e-04 0.001028 0.001242 0.001477 0.001728 0.001985 0.002268
2026-01-04 6.555790e-04 0.000908 0.001178 0.001482 0.001812 0.002156 0.002539
2026-01-11 5.079526e-04 0.000792 0.001106 0.001469 0.001870 0.002293 0.002767
2026-01-18 3.878957e-04 0.000693 0.001044 0.001459 0.001924 0.002421 0.002983
2026-01-25 2.596662e-04 0.000568 0.000941 0.001395 0.001913 0.002473 0.003112
2026-02-01 1.743141e-04 0.000483 0.000878 0.001370 0.001940 0.002563 0.003279
2026-02-08 1.171026e-04 0.000426 0.000842 0.001373 0.001996 0.002680 0.003473
2026-02-15 7.555335e-05 0.000382 0.000818 0.001387 0.002061 0.002807 0.003675
2026-02-22 4.641607e-05 0.000349 0.000806 0.001412 0.002138 0.002945 0.003887
2026-03-01 1.702230e-05 0.000300 0.000767 0.001402 0.002171 0.003031 0.004041
2026-03-08 3.885869e-07 0.000249 0.000722 0.001381 0.002189 0.003099 0.004172
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000214 0.000706 0.001411 0.002286 0.003278 0.004451
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000153 0.000645 0.001383 0.002313 0.003379 0.004645
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000114 0.000611 0.001387 0.002380 0.003524 0.004890
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000075 0.000567 0.001375 0.002424 0.003642 0.005103
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000044 0.000527 0.001365 0.002469 0.003761 0.005317
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000010 0.000453 0.001302 0.002447 0.003799 0.005436
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000409 0.001278 0.002470 0.003888 0.005611
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000385 0.001280 0.002525 0.004014 0.005829
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000368 0.001294 0.002594 0.004155 0.006062
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000360 0.001319 0.002676 0.004311 0.006312
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000331 0.001309 0.002712 0.004410 0.006496